Scaling Radar — July 30

2026-07-30

Data: the local 00:16 run (iOS-only, --no-android). A fresh re-pull from the sandbox is
impossible — the network to Apple is closed (403 on the tunnel), same as on the 27th. 142 in scoring,
15 above the threshold, 8 new alerts. The comparison base in the DB is July 27, the deltas are three-day.
Comparison with the report of the 29th is valid: it had the same three-day base (the 26th).

New alerts

All 8 are one- to two-country chart entries (the contribution everywhere is rank_jump 30 +
chart_entry 14 + youth). Based on the 27th and the 29th, records like this with no review pace
are noise, and today's list confirms it again: of the 13 new alerts from the 29th, zero survived.

• EA College Football Mobile 27 (EA) — top 19 US, 46 reviews/day. Not HC, a seasonal
• sports sim. Added to the exclusions.
• Escape Game: Amsterdam (Jammsworks, jp+kr, top 3 JP) and **Escape Game: Seaside
• Station** — Japanese indie escapes, they chart on fanbase organics with every release.
• Added to the exclusions by token.
• Color Puzzle Jam - Car Out Rush (GLORYWAY) — the only substantive one among the new entries:
• an HC puzzle (a Car Out clone), 129 days, entered BR top 23, 17 reviews/day. Looks like a relaunch
• through a cheap geo. Publisher added to the HC list — if it adds countries tomorrow, the signal
• is real.
• Grill Drop Master (HK Ruixue) — a shelf-sort puzzle, ZA top 25, 11.7 reviews/day.
• Same story: one country, but genre-wise cleanly HC. Publisher added to the list.
• Truck Driving Simulator (ng), 価値ズレ！ (jp), Immer (dk) — one country each, 0 reviews/day,
• noise.

Highlights by stage

1. Royal Smash! (Cypher) — the story of the day. On the 29th it looked like the peak had passed (reviews
822→446/day). It hadn't: 17→23 countries, an entry into the US, top 1 TR held for the 30th day,
reviews back at 721/day (+5%). This isn't a tail, this is a move into Tier-1 after the Turkish
warm-up. The clearest "they're buying seriously" on the list.
2. Lordrush (Century) — the ramp continues: 16→17 countries (+ae, eg, ng, no, nz, pt,
se, tw against the three-day base), best 2 IN, reviews at 54/day accelerating +9.8%. 11 days
from release. Still an early phase.
3. Family Farm Merge (Century) — quiet but important: +60.6% reviews (to 106/day)
at a stable 9-10 countries and top 5 BE. Buying inside existing geo. Paired with
Lordrush — see publishers.
4. Highway Heroes (Pixel Federation) — 1→3 countries (+cz, za), top 10 PT, reviews
+23.7%. Expansion is slower than expected on the 29th (back then it looked like 6 countries),
but the "a week from release + review growth" profile remains an early entry point.
5. Happy Restaurant 3D (Dragonvale) — 13 countries (gb, it, my, nl were added to the salvo of
the 29th), but the best rank slipped 16→12 (DK) at 1 review/day. Wide geo with no review
dynamics — the buying is running, but there's no retention signal. Watch, not a priority.

Movement over the day

• MineBall dropped out — the priority watch of the 29th (6 days, top 3 TR) fell out of the charts
• entirely, it isn't even in runner-up. The Turkish test apparently didn't pass. Removed from the watchlist.
• Also dropped out: Endless Puncher (Rollic, in runner-up at 30.7 — the test was wound down or
• paused), Reality Bay (Moon Active, the DE test left the top), Warline (40 countries,
• reviews 413/day from 359 — the global is alive, but there are no more jump signals), Bubble Word
• Jam and Colony Flow (peak passed), CubeAway, Sprite Catch and all 13 noise single-country
• records from the 29th.
• Profile Perfect (Lion) 17→27 countries, top 3 KR — continues a wide deploy.
• Meowdoku — 2,196 reviews/day (was 1,655), top 1 AU. Already scaled, interesting as an
• indicator of Oakever's budget.

Publishers

• Century Games — 2 titles on the list (Lordrush ramping + Family Farm Merge with
• accelerating buying). A portfolio flood, watch the publisher as a whole: new titles in
• test geos are likely in the coming weeks.
• Lion Studios: Profile Perfect on the list, Bubble Word Jam dropped out — they're moving
• budget around inside the portfolio.
• Oakever: Meowdoku on the list + Amaze GO! in runner-up (894 reviews/day) — the portfolio is active.
• Moon Active's and Rollic's tests left the list — both wound down or paused
• within three days. For big publishers that's a normal kill/iterate cycle.

Caveats

Not a cold start. The deltas are three-day (base the 27th), not daily. New alerts have
reviews_growth_pct = 0 — an artifact of first appearance. Android is still switched off:
geo and reviews are understated for Android-first titles.

List edits

HC_PUBLISHERS += gloryway, ruixue. HARD_EXCLUDE_TOKENS += "college football",
"escape game:", "脱出ゲーム" (EA sports sims and Japanese organic escapes,
which were consistently slipping through rank_jump).